• bufordt@sh.itjust.works
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    6 months ago

    I agree that people shouldn’t be afraid of this stuff, but I think you underestimate the odds of winning the lottery and your chances of being murdered.

    Around 32,000 homicides/year in the US. 333,000,000 people, so about 1 in 100,000.

    Powerball odds are 1 in 292,000,000.

    • nonfuinoncuro@lemm.ee
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      6 months ago

      the distribution is different though, if you buy a powerball ticket you have the same odds as everyone else who bought one assuming the numbers are equally distributed and truly random

      the difference between living in Biden’s suburban neighborhood in Delaware vs west Philly or Baltimore is huge

      • bufordt@sh.itjust.works
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        6 months ago

        Sure, but nowhere is the chance of winning the lottery greater than the chance of getting murdered. Even Singapore, which has the lowest homicide rate, is around 1 in 1,000,000.

        I suppose if you classified getting a playback prize on a scratch off as a lottery win, but I doubt most people count that.