Microsoft’s filings obscure the cost of OpenAI, but Wednesday’s earnings may offer clarity.
Certainly nothing bad will happen to our economy when the biggest investments of the current century have no path to profitability.
This crash will be Great Depression 2.0. Not being funny, not exaggerating.
“Stake in OpenAI doesn’t return profit”
And I don’t see how it could. Sell copilot at a loss, which consumes ChatGPT (sold at a loss) which runs on Azure (exchanged at below cost for stock in OpenAI).
I’m sure we’ll see a bloodbath in the coming years as it all falls apart, and then the big companies like Microsoft and Google will vacuum up the pieces for themselves.
I’m not sure where it will land. MS and Google are funding a lot of it so they stand to lose a lot of money.
They’re going to use that as the leverage they need to get a good deal on it. Usually these types of investment arrangements give first rights of refusal when looting the corpse.
It’s already calculated, in my opinion.
Putting aside my ethical and cultural issues with training generative AI for a second, I have no idea what the appeal of this stuff is as a product.
Like, if they want me to pay a monthly subscription, what do they expect me to do with it? I have zero interest in chatting to a computer that’s not thinking and is just stringing together words based on probabilistic bias, and I have zero interest in making or consuming AI-generated media. I don’t want an AI “girlfriend”, nor do I want an AI to play a video game for me. Finally, I don’t see the value in having an AI tell me things that it summarized from various internet sources when we all know that the chances of it “hallucinating” (aka: making shit up or generally being totally wrong) is extremely high and basically unavoidable.
So, aside from the basic novelty of talking to your computer, what the hell is the point of all this?
Personally I wouldn’t pay $2/month for LLMs, let alone $200/month…
I don’t know about OpenAI, but Gemini is pretty bad and so is Google AI.
If you use a pretty good AI, they can be helpful. Even though I don’t take AI advice at face value, I use it for stock projections mainly and search for earnings report schedule of specific companies. I also use AI to hunt leads for the next potential stocks to invest. Again, I don’t take its responses as fool proof, I research before diving in head first.
AI is mainly a tool to help, not be a substitute to do your own work, at least not in its current incarnation.
I’m sure it has its uses for a good percentage of people and maybe it’s even worth more than $200/mo for them, but they are forcing it on the majority when it should really be a browser based option.
They clearly don’t know what to do with all the LLM money.
There’s a copilot button in notepad FFS.
Is nothing sacred?
Can I just dump text somewhere? Peak “nobody asked for this” and I sure as shit won’t pay for it.
How can something that doesn’t exist be profitable… I mean besides God?
