So I went and clicked on the study this article is written about, and it does not conclude that children going into the system are more likely to suffer abuse, or turn out worse, than those left with their abusers. It even cautions that “the point estimates are large and relatively
imprecisely estimated, with only the delinquency and earnings results statistically significantly different from zero and none statistically different from the conditional mean comparison”
They also said that CS investigators who have higher rates of child removals, have higher rates of long term placement of the children, but that this is more of a function of how much work they do vs colleagues, rather than some sort of personal bias. They further say that the estimates against the median statistics for the general population are not far off from those of kids within abusive households, in terms of long term wealth, and delinquency, which they mention another paper that concludes that most of the long term affects are achieved in early childhood, so by the time the system receives them they are already statistically more likely to end up this way from the abuse already suffered.
They also spend a portion of the study explaining how there are major problems with their study, but that is because most of the data they would need is either very difficult to get, or can only be gotten via unethical means. (laws around privacy make it difficult to get data from organizations, and solid experimental evidence would require knowingly allowing a group of children to be abused)
So this study isn’t saying what you are making it to say. Really even the article from a organization against government interventions of families is saying, which isn’t really surprising either.
Even at that, lower earnings and higher delinquency rates are exactly the kinds of data point that shows unnecessary intervention, like taking a child from the mother over poppy seeds, which maybe you’ll remember is what we were disagreeing about, is bad for children.
It’s clear that the “take the kids from the parents and investigate later” attitude you’re recommending causes more problems than it solves, even though it’s “well meaning” at first glance.
Eating food isn’t a reason to have your kids taken away from any parent, even one who was at risk of drug abuse. This is a known problem with the tests and they should have confirmed it BEFORE acting, not taken the baby and investigated later.
There are actually 7 studies in that article, and a link to more, however this particular article was written because of the one study that was done, and cited, 3 times.
All of these studies have the same problems, and have lots of criticism about their methodology, particularly in how to get this data. One of the biggest critiques being that they studied kids in bad homes the CS decided to not take in, vs ones they did. This is how they know a child is in a bad home, but not being ethically responsible for them staying. This automatically selects for less severe cases being the stay at homes, and the more severe being the ones taken. Then there are this issues in my last comment, like their estimations being wide. There are also many more when I started finding when putting the titles of these studies into google scholar and adding critique.
Basically these studies aren’t particularly useful because the data is hard to get (privacy laws, parents not wanting to participate, retraction of participation agreements before conclusion of data gathering, etc), the different groupings are already selected based on a varying scales of abuse severity, that it would not be ethical to select groups in a different fashion, and any experimental trials would be unethical. These foundational problems also make meta research faulty from the start. While they can pose some interesting questions, they are not able to make reliable qualitative calls on kids being removed from abusive homes because the ability to conduct this research is just not there in a way it would need to be.
You’re clearly putting a lot of effort into your responses and are being respectful. I don’t think I’ve given you the same respect so far so I’ll try my best.
I agree with the nuances you brought up. I understand you feel it’s better to intervene and be safe than sorry. I see the appeal of that.
I take the opposite stance. I know that the welfare of the child is closely tied to the stress and trauma they endure. In most families that at least nominally love their children that’s related to the stress of the parents. Stressed out parents are bad parents (all else being equal). Taking a child from their parents is a big stressor, that alone will make the child’s life worse.
To me, that’s enough motivation to say that on average the damage you cause through intervention has to be less than the life improvement you gain from intervention.
That’s a hard balance to strike. It can be appealing to say that damage to 100 families is worth it to save one child from irreparable harm.
My personal ethics say that you’re only responsible for your actions. If you don’t act and something bad happens then that’s on the people who did the bad things. On the other hand, if you do act then it’s important to validate that your actions match your intentions to improve the world, using the data you have access to, as best as you can.
I know other people have a value system that compels them to act because not acting can be as much a choice as acting. This type of value system would definitely lead you to intervening more often. I have a hard time internalizing these types of value systems because they’re very problematic at large scale and at edge cases.
I can live in a world with interventionists. But it doesn’t mean I don’t feelthe damage unnecessary interventions cause such as the one in this article.
Yeah I agree, to an extent. My extended family has had a LOT of interaction with CS over the years. Some bad, some good, some just, well they seem to be completely unconcerned about how my cousin’s daughter got pregnant when she was 12. The lady told my aunt to see it as a blessing from god. Police know the guy, but just sorta shrugged their shoulders about it, even knowing his is 21. We are still fighting about this, but this is rural florida… and florida has always seemed to be worse that other states. However knowing something bad is happening, and you being able to do something about it, should definitely be a considered factor in ethics. A lot of horrific things have flown under the radar because everyone takes the “not my business” stance. My experience over all though has been CS tends to be far more likely to miss a case where a child is being badly abused, than it is to take a child, at least long term, from a household where they may have done better.
As far as we can see with conclusive data, most of the time the predictor of a child’s long term success is heavily correlated to the very early part of their lives. So when CS generally get involved that ship has often sailed. Also, like I talked about before, the two groups are selected by what CS investigators have determined to be bad enough to justify long term loss of parental rights, and those who weren’t. The only way these researchers can know that a child is in a bad home is from third party report, IE CS. So that kind of undermines the whole idea right there, and most of these people recognize that. My data is about 10 years out of date now, but when I was doing data analysis for the corrections system, our department crossed paths with data, and reports, from CYS on the regular. At that time evidence of abuse/neglect among foster homes, and group homes, had a significantly lower per capita rating than the general public. CYS taking short term custody of children always seemed to be where most of the issues arose from. More often then not there wasn’t anything significant happening, at least there was no proof of such. However taking a kid, from their family, even if it is just like over night to be reviewed by medical staff, is stressful and potentially traumatizing event. Most places would get a report, and if it didn’t have like a laundry list of reporters, or some other stronger evidence, they mostly just wanted to see the condition of the house, and ask the child about it without their parents there. Rarely was this more than voluntary. However, we did have notable hot spots where this activity was way higher than normal. That was a political matter though, and my role was done, but they do investigate cases where things seem to be out of alignment with norms.
Nothing is perfect though, and when you are dealing with tens of millions of people, you will no doubt get thousands of errors, enough errors to make it seem like this is way more common than it is. There really isn’t a good solution to this.
So I went and clicked on the study this article is written about, and it does not conclude that children going into the system are more likely to suffer abuse, or turn out worse, than those left with their abusers. It even cautions that “the point estimates are large and relatively imprecisely estimated, with only the delinquency and earnings results statistically significantly different from zero and none statistically different from the conditional mean comparison”
They also said that CS investigators who have higher rates of child removals, have higher rates of long term placement of the children, but that this is more of a function of how much work they do vs colleagues, rather than some sort of personal bias. They further say that the estimates against the median statistics for the general population are not far off from those of kids within abusive households, in terms of long term wealth, and delinquency, which they mention another paper that concludes that most of the long term affects are achieved in early childhood, so by the time the system receives them they are already statistically more likely to end up this way from the abuse already suffered.
They also spend a portion of the study explaining how there are major problems with their study, but that is because most of the data they would need is either very difficult to get, or can only be gotten via unethical means. (laws around privacy make it difficult to get data from organizations, and solid experimental evidence would require knowingly allowing a group of children to be abused)
So this study isn’t saying what you are making it to say. Really even the article from a organization against government interventions of families is saying, which isn’t really surprising either.
The article sites 4 studies not one.
Even at that, lower earnings and higher delinquency rates are exactly the kinds of data point that shows unnecessary intervention, like taking a child from the mother over poppy seeds, which maybe you’ll remember is what we were disagreeing about, is bad for children.
It’s clear that the “take the kids from the parents and investigate later” attitude you’re recommending causes more problems than it solves, even though it’s “well meaning” at first glance.
Eating food isn’t a reason to have your kids taken away from any parent, even one who was at risk of drug abuse. This is a known problem with the tests and they should have confirmed it BEFORE acting, not taken the baby and investigated later.
There are actually 7 studies in that article, and a link to more, however this particular article was written because of the one study that was done, and cited, 3 times.
All of these studies have the same problems, and have lots of criticism about their methodology, particularly in how to get this data. One of the biggest critiques being that they studied kids in bad homes the CS decided to not take in, vs ones they did. This is how they know a child is in a bad home, but not being ethically responsible for them staying. This automatically selects for less severe cases being the stay at homes, and the more severe being the ones taken. Then there are this issues in my last comment, like their estimations being wide. There are also many more when I started finding when putting the titles of these studies into google scholar and adding critique.
Basically these studies aren’t particularly useful because the data is hard to get (privacy laws, parents not wanting to participate, retraction of participation agreements before conclusion of data gathering, etc), the different groupings are already selected based on a varying scales of abuse severity, that it would not be ethical to select groups in a different fashion, and any experimental trials would be unethical. These foundational problems also make meta research faulty from the start. While they can pose some interesting questions, they are not able to make reliable qualitative calls on kids being removed from abusive homes because the ability to conduct this research is just not there in a way it would need to be.
You’re clearly putting a lot of effort into your responses and are being respectful. I don’t think I’ve given you the same respect so far so I’ll try my best.
I agree with the nuances you brought up. I understand you feel it’s better to intervene and be safe than sorry. I see the appeal of that.
I take the opposite stance. I know that the welfare of the child is closely tied to the stress and trauma they endure. In most families that at least nominally love their children that’s related to the stress of the parents. Stressed out parents are bad parents (all else being equal). Taking a child from their parents is a big stressor, that alone will make the child’s life worse.
To me, that’s enough motivation to say that on average the damage you cause through intervention has to be less than the life improvement you gain from intervention.
That’s a hard balance to strike. It can be appealing to say that damage to 100 families is worth it to save one child from irreparable harm.
My personal ethics say that you’re only responsible for your actions. If you don’t act and something bad happens then that’s on the people who did the bad things. On the other hand, if you do act then it’s important to validate that your actions match your intentions to improve the world, using the data you have access to, as best as you can.
I know other people have a value system that compels them to act because not acting can be as much a choice as acting. This type of value system would definitely lead you to intervening more often. I have a hard time internalizing these types of value systems because they’re very problematic at large scale and at edge cases.
I can live in a world with interventionists. But it doesn’t mean I don’t feelthe damage unnecessary interventions cause such as the one in this article.
Yeah I agree, to an extent. My extended family has had a LOT of interaction with CS over the years. Some bad, some good, some just, well they seem to be completely unconcerned about how my cousin’s daughter got pregnant when she was 12. The lady told my aunt to see it as a blessing from god. Police know the guy, but just sorta shrugged their shoulders about it, even knowing his is 21. We are still fighting about this, but this is rural florida… and florida has always seemed to be worse that other states. However knowing something bad is happening, and you being able to do something about it, should definitely be a considered factor in ethics. A lot of horrific things have flown under the radar because everyone takes the “not my business” stance. My experience over all though has been CS tends to be far more likely to miss a case where a child is being badly abused, than it is to take a child, at least long term, from a household where they may have done better.
As far as we can see with conclusive data, most of the time the predictor of a child’s long term success is heavily correlated to the very early part of their lives. So when CS generally get involved that ship has often sailed. Also, like I talked about before, the two groups are selected by what CS investigators have determined to be bad enough to justify long term loss of parental rights, and those who weren’t. The only way these researchers can know that a child is in a bad home is from third party report, IE CS. So that kind of undermines the whole idea right there, and most of these people recognize that. My data is about 10 years out of date now, but when I was doing data analysis for the corrections system, our department crossed paths with data, and reports, from CYS on the regular. At that time evidence of abuse/neglect among foster homes, and group homes, had a significantly lower per capita rating than the general public. CYS taking short term custody of children always seemed to be where most of the issues arose from. More often then not there wasn’t anything significant happening, at least there was no proof of such. However taking a kid, from their family, even if it is just like over night to be reviewed by medical staff, is stressful and potentially traumatizing event. Most places would get a report, and if it didn’t have like a laundry list of reporters, or some other stronger evidence, they mostly just wanted to see the condition of the house, and ask the child about it without their parents there. Rarely was this more than voluntary. However, we did have notable hot spots where this activity was way higher than normal. That was a political matter though, and my role was done, but they do investigate cases where things seem to be out of alignment with norms.
Nothing is perfect though, and when you are dealing with tens of millions of people, you will no doubt get thousands of errors, enough errors to make it seem like this is way more common than it is. There really isn’t a good solution to this.