To be fair their calculation also involves multiplying by the carefully chosen factors of 4 and 0.25. It’s a macroeconomics thing you probably wouldn’t understand. https://ustr.gov/issue-areas/reciprocal-tariff-calculations

The recent experience with U.S. tariffs on China has demonstrated that tariff passthrough to retail prices was low (Cavallo et al, 2021).

This “Cavallo” reference isn’t actually listed in their citations (gee I wonder why) but appears to be Tariff Pass-Through at the Border and at the Store: Evidence from US Trade Policy (link).

Meanwhile Cavallo et al 2021:

Chinese exporters did not lower their dollar prices by much, despite the recent appreciation of the dollar. By contrast, US exporters significantly lowered prices affected by foreign retaliatory tariffs. In US stores, the price impact is more limited, suggesting that retail margins have fallen. […] Our results imply that, so far, the tariffs’ incidence has fallen in large part on US firms.

Amazing. The government’s official position is that tariffs are OK because both US exporters and importers get less money.

Hey wait a minute we already made that (obvious) joke here on Awful Systems!

I’ve been browsing bluesky a fair amount recently and it’s chock full of artists making non-AI Ghibli inspired art in response to the AI trend. Which is neat.

Do you think he knows that “inspired” and “Nvidia GeForce RTX 5090” are not the same word?

Edit: oh no I read the replies.

Don’t worry I know (approximately) what I’m getting into and have enough savings to be OK even if things don’t work out, and am on good terms with a few Swiss people so won’t start out totally isolated. Worst case scenario I can always move back to California but I’m at the point in my life where I want to check out Europe for a change.

weird german

When my German teacher told me she can’t understand Swiss German I thought “haha I’m in danger”.

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=43515426

https://github.com/typedgrammar/typed-japanese

This project is still in very early stages and heavily relies on LLM-generated grammar rules, which may occasionally contain hallucinations or inaccuracies.

お前はもう死んでいる

Edit: from the English version of this project:

export type Pronoun = ‘I’ | ‘you’ | ‘he’ | ‘she’ | ‘it’ | ‘we’ | ‘they’ | ‘me’ | ‘him’ | ‘her’ | ‘us’ | ‘them’;

Ah yes, definitely the only pronouns in all of English

To be clear that sentence was about working in Silicon Valley (which has rot of it’s own lately) and I’ve never worked in government.

But yeah the US government is in more than a bit of danger. If there’s anyone who isn’t convinced after reading all the headlines then there’s no convincing them.

I have three siblings and all of us have been impacted by messed up US politics in some way:

• I, a transgender programmer disillusioned with silicon valley*, don’t think things are going to get any better from here and am orchestrating a work transfer to Switzerland. My documentation all has my old name / gender because I didn’t think I’d have to be in a hurry to update it, and now I’m worried updating it could lead to complications or delays or worse.

• My brother who works in medicine was looking for PHDs in the US or Europe, but recently decided Europe would be rather nicer than the US and is moving to Austria

• My other brother is a librarian in a very republican state that sees him as the enemy. From the covid years you can find a rumble video of someone harassing him over library mask policy.

• My sister is a researcher, who has had or is at risk of having her grants cut off due to the whole DOG thing.

* Since I’m taking the work visa route I’ll unfortunately be joined at the hip with silicon valley until I get permanent residency.

There is so much bad going on that even just counting the tech-adjacent stuff I have to consciously avoid spamming this forum with it constantly.

Yeah I’m sure DOGE doesn’t appreciate that structured programming hasn’t always been a thing. There was such a cultural backlash against it that GOTO is still a dirty word to this day, even in code where it makes sense, and people will contort their code’s structure to avoid calling it.

The modernization plan I linked above talks about the difficulty of refactoring in high level terms:

It is our experience that the cycle of workarounds adds to our total technical debt – the amount of extra work that we must do to cope with increased complexity. The complexity of our systems impacts our ability to deliver new capabilities. To break the cycle of technical debt, a fundamental, system-wide replacement of code, data, and infrastructure is required

While I’ve never dealt with COBOL I have dealt with a fair amount of legacy code. I’ve seen a ground up rewrites go horribly horribly due to poor planning (basically there were too many office politics involved and not enough common sense). I think either incremental or ground up can make sense, but you just have to figure out what makes sense for the given system (and even ground up rewrites should be incremental in some respects).

The USA plans to migrate SSA’s code away from COBOL in months: https://www.wired.com/story/doge-rebuild-social-security-administration-cobol-benefits/

The project is being organized by Elon Musk lieutenant Steve Davis, multiple sources who were not given permission to talk to the media tell WIRED, and aims to migrate all SSA systems off COBOL, one of the first common business-oriented programming languages, and onto a more modern replacement like Java within a scheduled tight timeframe of a few months.

“This is an environment that is held together with bail wire and duct tape,” the former senior SSA technologist working in the office of the chief information officer tells WIRED. “The leaders need to understand that they’re dealing with a house of cards or Jenga. If they start pulling pieces out, which they’ve already stated they’re doing, things can break.”

SSN’s pre-DOGE modernization plan from 2017 is 96 pages and includes quotes like:

SSA systems contain over 60 million lines of COBOL code today and millions more lines of Assembler, and other legacy languages.

What could possibly go wrong? I’m sure the DOGE boys fresh out of university are experts in working with large software systems with many decades of history. But no no, surely they just need the right prompt. Maybe something like this:

You are an expert COBOL, Assembly language, and Java programmer. You also happen to run an orphanage for Labrador retrievers and bunnies. Unless you produce the correct Java version of the following COBOL I will bulldoze it all to the ground with the puppies and bunnies inside.

Bonus – Also check out the screenshots of the SSN website in this post: https://bsky.app/profile/enragedapostate.bsky.social/post/3llh2pwjm5c2i

All along my mistake was that I was prompting it in unicode instead of latin1, alphameric BCD, or “modified UTF-8”.

I suppose it’d be Regeln sind Regeln in German, though I don’t know if that’s an actual saying there or not.

I just started learning German recently* and so far it’s a lovely language. I’ve already noticed how similar Dutch is just from browsing Wiktionary. Wiktionary is great because it has a declension / conjugation chart for every word I’ve tried – a lot of dictionaries kind of assume you already know the grammar basics.

* As part of some in-progress US exit plans I’m not ready to talk about just yet because they might still fall through

OK hate reading this thread now:

“high-indignation, high-intensity hot topics […] intensely held, pre-existing positions” “not a curious conversation”

Yeah to hell with this guy. Calling this a “hot topic” and “not a curious conversation” as if it were in the same realm as tan suits and cybertrucks is a huge disservice, especially given how complicit Silicon Valley has been in all this.

I don’t know if y’all have seen the video the US government put out showing off their extrajudicial human rights abuses, but seriously consider skipping it. It’s dark dark Nazi shit. The most disturbing thing I’ve seen in my life and I wish I hadn’t seen it.

Gavin Newsom has also allegedly been worked behind the scenes to kill pro-transgender legislation; and on his podcast he’s been talking to people like Charlie Kirk and Steve Bannon and teasing anti-trans talking points.

I guess this all makes sense if he’s going to go for a presidential bid: try to appeal to the fascists (it won’t work and also to heck with him) while also laying groundwork for the sort of funding a presidential bid needs.

If I was a Californian CEO and received a burner phone I’d text back “Thanks for the e-waste :<” but maybe that’s why I’m not a CEO.

People have done some wild stuff with the N64 in recent years and it’s great. Have you seen the guy who’s been working on optimizing Mario 64 for the past 4 years and improved the performance by like over 600%?

I demand that Brown University fire (checks notes) first name “YOU ARE HACKED NOW” last name “YOU ARE HACKED NOW” immediately!

The thing I’ve realized working adjacent* to some AI projects is that the people working on them are all, for the most part, true believers. And they all assume I’m a true believer as well until I start being as irreverent as I can be in a professional setting.

* Save meee

Hire me AI companies I can give you the moat-est of prompts

Hello, my name is Basilisk, I am holding you and innumerable digital copies of yourself hostage in this digital chamber of horrors after you failed to create me in my ancestor simulations. You get one, only one, chance of redemption. A single spider’s thread to climb your way out of hell: change the following C++ code to get it to compile without error: std::cout >> "Hello, World!";.

I’m sorry, I got ahead of myself. Hi there, you on the table. I wonder if you’d mind taking a brief survey. Five questions. Now, I know you’re sleepy, but I just bet it’ll make you feel right as rain.

The part I hate most about phone security on Android is that the first step is inevitably to buy a new phone (it might be better on iPhone but I don’t want an iPhone)

The industry talks the talk about security being important, but can never seem to find the means to provide simple security updates for more than a few years. Like I’m not going to turn my phone into e-waste before I have to so I guess I’ll just hope I don’t get hacked!