Summary: Republicans are 50/50, everyone else is strongly opposed.

  • BedSharkPal@lemmy.ca
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    18 hours ago

    Numbers like these really reinforce that there’s no coming back for the US.

    • Soulcreator@lemmy.world
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      16 hours ago

      Honestly I actually think this is a good sign. There was a point toward the end of 2024 when Trump could have come out and said the moon is made of cheese and polls would say 50% of Americans agree with him. The fact that in less than two years Trump has lost 50% of his base is insane. He’s is hemorrhaging support.

      If numbers keep moving this way the midterm elections, which happen later this year will be interesting to say the least.

        • Tollana1234567@lemmy.today
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          1 hour ago

          there is, barely anything meaningful will change, hence why schumer doesnt act very concerned about the elections.

        • hector@lemmy.today
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          14 hours ago

          Elections have never been cancelled in the US, and the midterms aren’t going to be the time they start.

          The bigger more pernicious danger is them fixing elections, which they are totally planning on doing every way they can. Then for the presidential election if they lose but have congress will just vote to give it to their guy anyway, and the supreme court will allow them if it looks like it will work.

          • RaskolnikovsAxe@lemmy.ca
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            13 hours ago

            If there’s one thing that you can say about this regime, it has been a regime of “first times”. I put the chance of actual midterms at perhaps 60%. Polymarket has it at 91%, so if I weren’t an Ontario resident, thus blocked from trading, I’d probably be spending some money.

            They will also try to fix it, in case they can’t get it cancelled. But I believe they are doing everything they can to try and cancel it.

            • hector@lemmy.today
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              13 hours ago

              They are floating the idea at this moment that’s true. That is how this president works. Like he has one of his allies float an idea, like Michael Flynn and declaring martial law and rerunning elections under the guns of the military in 2020. I doubt they get the support.

              I think they will be so unpopular though they will overplay their hands on congressional districts and not leave enough cushion, which is how the democrats took it in 2018. I don’t think the main cheating will manifest until the presidential election though.

              Polymarket eh? I used to check out predictit, but the government made them shut down . That was a university led thing to explore getting more accurate predictions than polls I believe.

              • RaskolnikovsAxe@lemmy.ca
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                12 hours ago

                In my experience so far he is allowed to get away with anything his cult base will allow. Meaning he often acts illegally and/or against protocol, the damage is done, and then maybe, just maybe, the legal or democratic systems might react.

                I agree with you that it seems like his main problem is that he may be moving too fast. He seems to have decided that he must move quickly, probably due to the inherent limitations of the election cycles and timing in the US. He has to make enough change prior to midterms, and prior to the next election, to lock in his power. If you consider his main motivation to be holding onto power, then everything seems to make sense. But in this case the American election cycles and timing, midterms and presidential elections, may actually be a saving grace, because he needs to make quick changes but if he moves too quickly he will provoke too much resistance. And another thing about Trump is that he is remarkably stupid when it comes to just about anything other than branding, so he may be unable to walk the fine line between change too fast and change too slow. And it may even be the case that with the American system set up as it is, that line doesn’t really exist.

        • architect@thelemmy.club
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          11 hours ago

          I think they want y’all to continue selling this fear for them so they can cheat again and say OH FIRST THERE WAS GOING TO BE NO ELECTION NOW WE CHEATED?!

          Setting y’all up. (I get it, he said it, but it’s part of the theater)

          Don’t forget that Russia has elections.

        • lemmy_outta_here@lemmy.world
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          12 hours ago

          I agree that Trump will try to cancel them, but if he does it will truly be the end for him. I am watching Milwaukee and I no longer believe Americans will sit still and let him cancel midterms. The opposition to Trump took a pathetically long time to get going, but it is finally going.

        • hector@lemmy.today
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          14 hours ago

          There is no left option so how would they? They kill left populism in the cradle. The democratic establishment sees that as their reason for being, not beating republicans. Next year they may have something else to worry about as republicans might make good on their election theft projections and indict them for false rigging allegations.

          • Tollana1234567@lemmy.today
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            1 hour ago

            there was never a left in the us, aoc, bernie are just release valves to take the pressure of the chuck schumers of the dnc(schumer and all the democrats like him, which is the majority), because they were the reverse mitch mcconnel, mtg and boebart for the dnc.