• JohnnyCanuck@lemmy.ca
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    10 hours ago

    I tried not to conflate absolute and relative risk. The numbers I was going with came from the link I posted, which was not from a science journalist, but from the US National Cancer Institute. Also, note that the comment you replied to was more about an off the cuff comparison of the risk between CT scans and drinking alcohol. It wasn’t meant to present scientific rigour.

    Below is directly from the linked article, emphasis mine:

    Using data from Australia, recalculated using US standard drinks, the recent Surgeon General’s Advisory reports that

    • among 100 women who have less than one drink per week, about 17 will develop an alcohol-related cancer
    • among 100 women who have one drink a day, 19 will develop an alcohol-related cancer
    • among 100 women who have two drinks a day, about 22 will develop an alcohol-related cancer

    This means that women who have one drink a day have an absolute increase in the risk of an alcohol-related cancer of 2 per 100, and those who have two drinks a day an absolute increase of 5 per 100, compared with those who have less than one drink a week. For men, the number of alcohol-related cancers per 100 is 10 for those who have less than one drink a week, 11 for those who have one drink a day (an increase of 1 per 100), and 13 for those who have two drinks a day (an increase of 3 per 100).