It feels like theres a bunch of things that are simultaneously heating up, but not boiling over.
1.AI bubble
Honestly I’m wondering if this’ll be a “pop” like 2008 or Dotcom, or if it’ll be more like 1929 where you had the intial crash and then the cascading effects across the economy. But in any case, at this point AI is not going to give many returns, and either start ups will run out of investment money or the larger corporations will cut both ai usage and development, leading to a domino effect from the top down.
- Venezualan war
Honestly what the US is doing is both the most and least transparent thing. It’s very obvious the US wants to topple Maduro and the Bolivarian government, but how they intend to is kinda beyond me, since [to my knowledge] they haven’t deployed large enough ground forces for a genuine invasion. Honestly if i had to guess, they might be wanting to go for a Libya/Syria strategy of propping up local rebels, then intervening with non-occupational forces. But when or how this’ll happen, I’m not sure.
3.Taiwan Crisis
We haven’t reached the point of another straight crisis yet, but the US has recently passed and introduced more measures in relation to the rogue government [https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/1512 and https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3452]. Of course there’s also been the Japanese saber rattling too. Of course these issues have been a thing for a while, but I’m unsure what Japan specifically is getting out of it, and Trump has, as always, been very opaque about the issue.
4.Russia-Europe
The current situation with the SMO seems to be a chicken with its head cut off. It’s walking like it’s alive but there really is no way the situation is going to improve for Europe. But the recent “Russian” drones and technical airspace violations seem to be something that’s trying to reignite tensions. For what? I’m also not sure. A full military intervention seems unlikely, as Europe’s equipment is currently already in Ukrainian hands. A full scale war with Russia [and probably Belarus] would be catastrophic at best and suicidal at worst. If I had to guess, Europe wants to keep pushing austerity and needs nationalist war drums to drown out the noise of german economic collapse and starving British kids.
There’s also the current situation in west Africa [with a military coup in Guinea-Bissau just being reported today] and other things. But really it feels as though the world is stuck, and when something gives, everything else is going to snap to. But idk, I also didn’t get enough sleep last night so maybe I’m just being paranoid
The Yankees have already tried this and failed -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/9497961 and https://www.france24.com/es/20190605-en-foco-militares-venezolanos-colombia. With every failed attempt, the traitors were exposed and the people were solidified behind anti imperialism.
Now, the strategy is to bomb their way through and occupy Venezuela. However, I am confident that this will also fail as well and will drag the US reputation to the mud. We are going to see another failure even bigger than the bay of pigs in Cuba.
The thing is that Venezuala has a functional and modern military. It’s not the best fighting force in the world, but it’s not Iraq or Syria. Plus the recent activation of people’s militias and it’s certainly not going to go well. Along with the ammunition shortage from supplying Israel and Ukraine
I guess they’ll just try to occupy the coast and go from there? Or maybe they thought they’d just intimidate Maduro into doing something and now they’re essentially playing a game of chicken against a wall. Idk
It doesn’t need to be the best in the world. It only needs to be strong enough to repel and defeat Yankee invasions and that’s what the Venezuelans have been preparing for.
Also, the American myth of military invincibility have been exposed repeatedly throughout these years starting from Yemen to Iran. Venezuela has all of the elements to deliver a bitter defeat to the US and they have been studying from the past experiences available -> https://lemmygrad.ml/post/9714555
I wasn’t saying it had to be, just that it’s not as strong as major powers like China and [to my knowledge] not as all encompassing or experienced as the KPA or Russian armed forces