A redistricting ruling means the party is unlikely to pick up new seats in the next election while new analysis shows the party may find it more difficult to keep hold of two seats it won in the last election .

Texas Republicans could now lose seats in the November 2026 midterms, not gain them.

Because of a ruling on redistricting in the state, the party is unlikely to pick up new seats from redrawn electoral maps.

Meanwhile, according to unrelated analysis by political scientist Larry Sabato, the party may find it more difficult to keep hold of two seats it won in the November 2024 election as they are shifting toward the Democratic Party.