cross-posted from: https://slrpnk.net/post/26740087
Scientists say ‘shocking’ discovery shows rapid cuts in carbon emissions are needed to avoid catastrophic fallout
Zero chance of that happening /s
Climate models recently indicated that a collapse before 2100 was unlikely but the new analysis examined models that were run for longer, to 2300 and 2500. These show the tipping point that makes an Amoc shutdown inevitable is likely to be passed within a few decades, but that the collapse itself may not happen until 50 to 100 years later.
My impression is that as we study AMOC collapse more and more, the average of the estimates keeps getting revised to be sooner and sooner (not just due to the passage of time).
This is basically my experience with climate collapse over the last 2 decades.