• stella@lemm.ee
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    1 year ago

    You don’t know what the sunk cost fallacy is.

    You seem to have this idea that Ukraine can win the war if the US gives enough support.

    Do you think it’s possible for Ukraine to lose even if they got all the information and equipment the US was able to give?

    • crackajack@reddthat.com
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      1 year ago

      Did people back then think Britain would lose to Nazis?

      Well, Ukraine proved more than capable and Russia proved to be less so despite the huge manpower and military advantages. Even if Russia win, it will be a Pyrrhic one as they already have significantly reduced international image and have become reliant on China to keep them going due to sanctions. After the war, Russia might even be beholden to China. Future generations of Russians will be paying for the cost of war, both financially and on personal level, just as now the Russians have paid then and still today for the cost of Afghan war in the 1970s. The Russian/Soviet intervention in Afghanistan contributed to the collapse of the Soviet Union, and arguably life in the Soviet Union might even be better than the current kleptocratic regime of Putin. More people have emigrated post-Soviet Russia than they did during the Soviet Union. As a consequence of this, even before the invasion of Ukraine, Russia is facing a demographic crisis. Russia have had to mobilise just for the current war, taking people away from work. Many Russian factories have also complained of staff shortages. Hundreds of thousands of Russians fled the draft. And more importantly, more Russians died in the war in Ukraine than during the Afghan war. So, even if Russia win, or get some concessions, or the war led to a stalemate they have already lost a great deal too. After the war, Russia will be facing an economic hardship from financial and human cost. Somehow, you did not think that sunk cost fallacy applies to Russia too.