Yes. Technology went faster than people expected in some areas and much slower in others, to the point where the outcome may not be possible at all.
That IS my “thesis”. the idea that in the 1960s video calls and a sentient robot cleaning your house seemed equally cartoonishly futuristic is the entire point I’m making.
And to be clear, that holds even when restricted simply to consumer software and hardware. We got a lot better than expected at networking and data transmission… and now we’re noticeably slowing down. We are actually behind in terms of AI, but we’re way better at miniaturization.
Again, people extrapolate from their impression of current rates of progress endlessly, but it’s hard to predict when the curve will flatten out. That’s the thesis.
Yes. Technology went faster than people expected in some areas and much slower in others, to the point where the outcome may not be possible at all.
That IS my “thesis”. the idea that in the 1960s video calls and a sentient robot cleaning your house seemed equally cartoonishly futuristic is the entire point I’m making.
And to be clear, that holds even when restricted simply to consumer software and hardware. We got a lot better than expected at networking and data transmission… and now we’re noticeably slowing down. We are actually behind in terms of AI, but we’re way better at miniaturization.
Again, people extrapolate from their impression of current rates of progress endlessly, but it’s hard to predict when the curve will flatten out. That’s the thesis.