synae[he/him]

  • 4 Posts
  • 1.02K Comments
Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: July 8th, 2023

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  • It’s part anecdote, in that I personally feel safer when I see a waymo coming than a human driver; but they also are required to report to government organizations as part of their operating agreement with the county/state. From my understanding, waymo’s collisions-per-mile are a fraction of human drivers. Here’s some random article I found if it helps https://www.forbes.com/sites/bradtempleton/2024/09/05/waymos-new-safety-data-is-impressive-and-teaches-a-lesson/. But I’m really just reporting my experience here from the ground.

    As a counterexample, Cruise was recently suspended by SF and fined by NHTSA for trying to avoid reporting their traffic incidents.

    As for the rest, you’ve got a handful of isolated incidents you’re just-asking-questions about when there are incidents every single day of human drivers doing worse, with provable loss of life.

    If you don’t think the tech is up to snuff, take it up with NHTSA who clearly disagrees.

    But all of this is a tangent - none of this negates the fact that self driving exists and I can hop in one just as quick as I can get an uber.

    We’ll have to keep waiting for the space colonies I guess.


  • Unlike the other things you mentioned, full self driving taxis do exist, they are being rolled out in actual markets with customers, and despite the problems you mentioned they are safer than human drivers and overall have improved my life as a pedestrian (sorry, anecdote). It may not be the perfect generalized scifi version you have in your head that makes you compare it with flying cars or AGI, but it is here.

    And, what - Musk’s version won’t have to overcome those problems?

    He’s years behind the competition in his own timeline, and as all the other commenters have pointed out he never even delivers according to that timeline.

    Meanwhile he’s announced a version of something that that already exists and is telling his customers and shareholders that in his best case scenario, he will be 3 years late to market - and it is a fast moving market, he falls further behind with every month that passes.