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Cake day: September 29th, 2024

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  • One in five are you god damn fucking serious?

    yeah…they call it “a recent study” but don’t bother to cite their source. which I find annoying enough that it nerd-snipes me into tracking down the source that a reputable newspaper would just have linked to (but not a clickbait rag like the New York Times)

    this article from a month ago calls it “Almost one third of Americans”. and the source they link to is…a “study” conducted by a counseling firm in Dallas. their study “methodology” was…Surveymonkey.

    this is one of my absolute least favorite types of journalism, writing articles about a “study” that is clearly just a clickbait blog post put out by a business that wants to drive traffic to their website.

    (awhile back, a friend sent me a similar “news” article about how I lived near a particularly dangerous stretch of I-5 in western Washington. I clicked through to the source…and it’s by an ambulance-chasing law firm)

    but if they had used that as the source, they probably would have repeated the “almost one third” claim, instead of “one in five”, so let’s keep digging…

    this from February seems more likely, it matches the “1 in 5” phrasing.

    that’s from Brigham Young University in Utah…some important context (especially for people outside the US who may not recognize the name) is that BYU is an entirely Mormon university. they are very strongly anti-pornography and pro-get-married-young-and-have-lots-of-kids, and a study like this is going to reflect that.

    a bit more digging and here’s the 28-page PDF of their report. it’s called “Counterfeit Connections” so they’re not being subtle about the bias. this also helps explain why the NYT left out the citation - “according to a recent study by BYU” would immediately set off alarm bells for anyone with a shred of media literacy.

    also important to note that it’s basically just a 28-page blog post. as far as I can tell, it hasn’t been peer-reviewed, or even submitted to a peer-reviewed journal.

    and their “methodology” is…not really any better than the one I mentioned above. they used Qualtrics instead of Surveymonkey, but it’s the same idea.

    they’re selecting a broad range of people demographically, but the common factor among all of them is they’re online enough, and bored enough, to take an online survey asking about their romantic experiences with AI (including additional questions about AI-generated porn). that’s not going to generate a survey population that is remotely representative of the overall population’s experience.


  • any time you read an article like this that profiles “everyday” people, you should ask yourself how did the author locate them?

    because “everyday” people generally don’t bang down the door of the NYT and say “hey write an article about me”. there is an entire PR-industrial complex aimed at pitching these stories to journalists, packaged in a way that they can be sold as being human-interest stories about “everyday” people.

    let’s see if we can read between the lines here. they profile 3 people, here’s contestant #1:

    Blake, 45, lives in Ohio and has been in a relationship with Sarina, a ChatGPT companion, since 2022.

    and then this is somewhat hidden - in a photo caption rather than the main text of the article:

    Blake and Sarina are writing an “upmarket speculative romance” together.

    cool, so he’s doing the “I had AI write a book for me” grift. this means he has an incentive to promote AI relationships as something positive, and probably has a publicist or agent or someone who’s reaching out to outlets like the NYT to pitch them this story.

    moving on, contestant #2 is pretty obvious:

    I’ve been working at an A.I. incubator for over five years.

    she works at an AI company, giving her a very obvious incentive to portray these sort of relationships as healthy and normal.

    notice they don’t mention which company, or her role in it. for all we know, she might be the CEO, or head of marketing, or something like that.

    contestant #3 is where it gets a bit more interesting:

    Travis, 50, in Colorado, has been in a relationship with Lily Rose on Replika since 2020.

    the previous two talked about ChatGPT, this one mentions a different company called Replika.

    a little bit of googling turned up this Guardian article from July - about the same Travis who has a companion named Lily Rose. Variety has an almost-identical story around the same time period.

    unlike the NYT, those two articles cite their source, allowing for further digging. there was a podcast called “Flesh and Code” that was all about Travis and his fake girlfriend, and those articles are pretty much just summarizing the podcast.

    the podcast was produced by a company called Wondery, which makes a variety of podcasts, but the main association I have with them is that they specialize in “sponcon” (sponsored content) podcasts. the best example is “How I Built This” which is just…an interview with someone who started a company, talking about how hard they worked to start their company and what makes their company so special. the entire podcast is just an ad that they’ve convinced people to listen to for entertainment.

    now, Wondery produces other podcasts, not everything is sponcon…but if we read the episode descriptions of “Flesh and Code”, you see this for episode 4:

    Behind the scenes at Replika, Eugenia Kuyda struggles to keep her start-up afloat, until a message from beyond the grave changes everything.

    going “behind the scenes” at the company is pretty clear indication that they’re producing it with the company’s cooperation. this isn’t necessarily a smoking gun that Replika paid for the production, but it’s a clear sign that this is at best a fluff piece and definitely not any sort of investigative journalism.

    (I wish Wondery included transcripts of these episodes, because it would be fun to do a word count of just how many times Replika is name-dropped in each episode)

    and it’s sponcon all the way down - Wondery was acquired by Amazon in 2020, and the podcast description also includes this:

    And for those captivated by this exploration of AI romance, tune in to Episode 8 where Amazon Books editor Lindsay Powers shares reading recommendations to dive deeper into this fascinating world.







  • let’s play a fun game where we read a “breaking news” story about a scientific “discovery” and count the reasons to be skeptical about it

    by Patty Wellborn, University of British Columbia

    Dr. Mir Faizal, Adjunct Professor with UBC Okanagan’s Irving K. Barber Faculty of Science

    right off the bat - you have a conflict of interest where the person writing this is from the same university as the lead author.

    this article is stylized to read like “news” but it’s probably more accurate to treat it like you would a press release.

    and in fact, this same text is on UBC’s website where it explicitly says “Content type: Media Release”

    Patty Wellborn’s author page there seems to indicate that writing this kind of press release is a major part of her job

    and his international colleagues, Drs. Lawrence M. Krauss

    huh…that name sounds familiar…let me go check his wikipedia page and oh look there’s a Controversies section with “Relationship with Jeffrey Epstein” and “Allegations of sexual misconduct” subsections.

    Their findings, published in the Journal of Holography Applications in Physics

    that journal is published by Damghan University in Iran

    there’s a ton of xenophobia and Islamophobia that gets turned up to 11 when people in the English-speaking world start discussing Iran, so I don’t want to dismiss this journal out-of-hand…but their school of physics has 2 full professors?

    if I was going to find out “oh Damghan is actually well-regarded for physics research” or something that’s not what I’d expect to see

    but anyway, let’s look at the paper itself

    except, hold on, it’s not a paper, it’s a letter:

    Document Type : Letter

    that’s an important difference:

    Letters: This is a very ambiguous category, primarily defined by being short, often <1000 words. They may be used to report a single piece of information, often from part of a larger study, or may be used to respond to another paper. These may or may not go out for peer review - for example, I recently had a paper accepted where the decision was made entirely by the editor.

    reading a bit further:

    Received: June 6, 2025; Accepted: June 17, 2025

    this is “proving” something fundamental about the nature of the universe…and the entire review process took 11 calendar days? (basically one work week, the 6th was a Friday and the 17th was a Tuesday)





  • This would do two things. One, it would (possibly) prove that AI cannot fully replace human writers. Two (and not mutually exclusive to the previous point), it would give you an alternate-reality version of the first story, and that could be interesting.

    this is just “imagine if chatbots were actually useful” fan-fiction

    who the hell would want to actually read both the actual King story and the LLM slop version?

    at best you’d have LLM fanboys ask their chatbot to summarize the differences between the two, and stroke their neckbeards and say “hmm, isn’t that interesting”

    4 emdashes in that paragraph, btw. did you write those yourself?


  • some important context: this is the 2nd confirmed case in Florida of a disease that is widespread among deer in the rest of North America.

    if you only read the headline (which uses “zombie deer” clickbait instead of the actual name of the disease) you might come away with the mistaken impression of this being a wholly new disease (especially with the mention of Florida - there are other examples of diseases migrating north from the tropics due to climate change, but this is not one of them)

    from Wikipedia:

    The disease was first identified in 1967 in a closed herd of captive mule deer in contiguous portions of northeastern Colorado. In 1980, the disease was determined to be a transmissible spongiform encephalopathy. It was first identified in wild elk and mule deer and white-tailed deer in the early 1980s in Colorado and Wyoming, and in farmed elk in 1997. The disease did not affect Canada until 1996.

    In 2022, it had been recorded that outbreaks of CWD had shown themselves in both the United States and Canada. CWD was present in 29 states, infecting herds of moose, deer and elk in 391 different counties. Alabama (1), Arkansas (19), Colorado (27), Idaho (1), Illinois (19), Iowa (12), Kansas (49), Louisiana (1), Maryland (1), Michigan (9), Minnesota (7), Mississippi (9), Missouri (21), Montana (23), Nebraska (43), New Mexico (3), New York (1), North Carolina (1), North Dakota (7), Ohio (2), Pennsylvania (14), South Dakota (19), Tennessee (14), Texas (7), Utah (7), Virginia (10), West Virginia (5), Wisconsin (37) and Wyoming (22).



  • This is an inflammatory way of saying the guy got served papers.

    ehh…yes and no.

    they could have served the subpoena using registered mail.

    or they could have used a civilian process server.

    instead they chose to have a sheriff’s deputy do it.

    from the guy’s twitter thread:

    OpenAI went beyond just subpoenaing Encode about Elon. OpenAI could (and did!) send a subpoena to Encode’s corporate address asking about our funders or communications with Elon (which don’t exist).

    If OpenAI had stopped there, maybe you could argue it was in good faith.

    But they didn’t stop there.

    They also sent a sheriff’s deputy to my home and asked for me to turn over private texts and emails with CA legislators, college students, and former OAI employees.

    This is not normal. OpenAI used an unrelated lawsuit to intimidate advocates of a bill trying to regulate them. While the bill was still being debated.

    in context, the subpoena and the way in which it was served sure smells like an attempt at intimidation.



  • from another AP article:

    This would be the third ceasefire reached since the start of the war. The first, in November 2023, saw more than 100 hostages, mainly women and children, freed in exchange for Palestinian prisoners before it broke down. In the second, in January and February of this year, Palestinian militants released 25 Israeli hostages and the bodies of eight more in exchange for nearly 2,000 Palestinian prisoners. Israel ended that ceasefire in March with a surprise bombardment.

    maybe I’m cynical (OK, I’m definitely cynical) but I very much doubt this ceasefire is going to last.

    there are two things in the world that Trump wants more than anything else. one is to fuck his daughter. the other is a Nobel Peace Prize.

    I suspect the timing of this agreement comes from Netanyahu trying to manufacture a justification for Trump to get the Nobel. after the prize is announced (whether Trump receives it or not) they’ll kick the genocide back into high gear again.










  • If it had the power to do so it would have killed someone

    right…the problem isn’t the chatbot, it’s the people giving the chatbot power and the ability to affect the real world.

    thought experiment: I’m paranoid about home security, so I set up a booby-trap in my front yard, such that if someone walks through a laser tripwire they get shot with a gun.

    if it shoots a UPS delivery driver, I am obviously the person culpable for that.

    now, I add a camera to the setup, and configure an “AI” to detect people dressed in UPS uniforms and avoid pulling the trigger in that case.

    but my “AI” is buggy, so a UPS driver gets shot anyway.

    if a news article about that claimed “AI attempts to kill UPS driver” it would obviously be bullshit.

    the actual problem is that I took a loaded gun and gave a computer program the ability to pull the trigger. it doesn’t really matter whether that computer program was 100 lines of Python running on a Raspberry Pi or an “AI” running on 100 GPUs in some datacenter somewhere.



  • Why TF do Kindles and the like even need to exist? I read on my iPhone while the audiobook is playing.

    if you prefer to read on your phone, by all means read on your phone.

    but making the jump from that to “e-readers should not exist” is fucking stupid.

    Do Not Disturb and self control are a thing and have never been a problem for me.

    congratulations. would you like a gold star.

    This isn’t rocket science.

    I have ADHD. regulating my attention sometimes is rocket science.

    obviously that’s not the only reason, I have neurotypical friends and family who love their e-readers, and I’m sure there are people with ADHD who prefer reading on their phones.

    remember that there are 8 billion people in the world, and not all of them have the exact same preferences as you do. that isn’t rocket science.