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Cake day: July 8th, 2023

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  • Or do think there’s something special about the person that makes them flip tails more often?

    Yes, that’s the conclusion that the scientist has come to. The chance of getting 20 in a row is so extraordinarily unlikely that it’s reasonable to conclude that the chance is not 50/50 for that particular surgeon.


  • Sjmarf@sh.itjust.worksOPtoScience Memes@mander.xyz50% survival rate
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    9 days ago

    The normal person thinks that because the last 20 people survived, the next patient is very likely to die.

    The mathematician considers that the probability of success for each surgery is independent, so in the mathematician’s eyes the next patient has a 50% chance of survival.

    The scientist thinks that the statistic is probably gathered across a large number of different hospitals. They see that this particular surgeon has an unusually high success rate, so they conclude that their own surgery has a >50% chance of success.





















  • It’s meant to show Adam and Eve being cast out of the garden of Eden. Trump is depicted as an angel holding a flaming sword, which is a reference to this Bible verse:

    He drove out the man, and at the east of the garden of Eden he placed the cherubim and a flaming sword that turned every way to guard the way to the tree of life.

    Genesis 3:24 NIV

    The artist is trying to imply that the Biden administration’s choices will cause them to be expelled from the White House (the “garden”), and that Trump (an “angel”) will be instated by God to prevent them from ever returning.