Tuukka R

Not my experience. I spent some 4 months at Goa in India, and it was usually around 40°C. I rented a bicycle there and rode it for distances of over 100 km in a day. And I did not sweat.

That temperature should not be a problem for a person living in an area where that’s a common temperature. And if it’s not a common temperature, then it’s not common, and it’s not really a problem to have to pay the taxi if you need to go to an important meeting precisely on the one scorching hot day :)

I was assuming from the context that it would translate to more like 50°C or so.

Heh.

It’s impolite to use only Fahrenheits on an international forum. Most readers won’t be able to make heads or tails of “103 degrees”, so a person posting on an international forum should definitely bother checking what that’s in Celcius. It’s much less work for the person writing the text to check that than thousand individual readers checking the same thing on Google.

If it’s somehow “okay” to ignore the 95 % of the world that has no idea of Fahrenheit, then it is similarly okay to be as if Fahrenheit didn’t exist.

I simply let the impolite person taste his own medicine. And no, I still don’t know if “103 degrees” equals 30°C, 45°C or 55°C. But the description “very uncomfortably hot” is absolutely enough to get what the person was talking about. So, some temperature that is unusual where the person writing the comment lives.

“103 degrees” means that it’s hot enough for water to boil. Water boils at 100 degrees, unless you’re deep underground.

But okay, it sounds like that’s a very rare temperature, then?

My understanding is that the casualty numbers only include severe casualties - that they are mostly unhealable. Also, hasn’t there already been more severely injured Russian soldiers than there are currently Russian soldiers serving on the front? If a significant share of the crippled really were sent back into action, we would see a LOT of them. The ones on crutches seem to be something of a rare case, based on how they are being talked about by the Ukrainian soldiers.

But yeah, it’s annoying that the “Russian losses” data is so ambiguously defined. I wish there was something of an official list visible for what injury gets you in that statistic and what doesn’t. Still: The earlier rate of roughly 1000 to 1300 per day was enough to make proper training impossible. We know that the Russia had to send everyone more or less immediately to the front. And that the size of Russian forces on the front apparently has not significantly grown. So, the recruitment capacity is such that it can roughly keep balance at a loss rate of 1000 to 1300 ambiguously defined casualties per day. And now the number was about 40-50 % over that for several months.

I’ve been pondering this number and have come to the conclusion that the official Ukrainian statistic most likely tells the number of unrecoverable losses of the Russian armed forces. But, this is just a somewhat-educated guess, based on an understanding that the 1000 to 1300 per day were enough to keep the Russian army from developing a reserve.

What a crazy situation we are in! It looks like we’ll get out of this reasonably fine, but there is still a risk that Ukraine will be pressured by the west into a peace deal where they don’t get Crimea back. (Donetsk and Luhansk… I don’t think they care much for those) If Ukraine doesn’t get Crimea back, I don’t understand why the Russia would not attack Ukraine again in a couple of years.

Trudeau probably won’t affect Trump directly, but knowing about his call affects other western leaders. And the US populace as well.

Well, anything can be done. If all NATO member countries want to let Ukraine in, they can do so.

But of course, Hungary is a NATO country. So, no way really.

Such messages are typically read by aides in the first place. The president might also read them, but the aides figure out what context is relevant and how the message should be interpreted.

Then what does the bike have to do with it? (Also, how hot is a 103 day?)

Why would a person ride their bike so fast that they end up dripping in sweat? Is there a reason for that?

Putin’s information bubble is a very interesting phenomenon. He never uses Internet. For anything. Ever. So, all OSINT goes completely missing on him.

His aides probably do print blog texts off the Internet for him to read in paper format, but of course those can be hand-picked and even altered to suit the aide’s needs. Atop that, Putin puts a high emphasis on trustworthiness when choosing aides. Skill is much less important than loyalty. And it looks very much like the definition of trustworthiness is that the aide’s reports show roughly the same data as other aides’ reports. The current aides give him strongly falsified reports and anyone writing something contradictory gets sacked.

This means, Putin’s understanding of many situations is extremely skewed, because he only receives information through his aides and his country’s official news. It is likely that he is being told highly inflated numbers for Ukrainian losses. Or, I’d be very surprised if the numbers weren’t inflated at all, and the only question is to what extent they are exaggerated.

If his understanding of the relative losses is strongly skewed, the strategy you’re guessing makes sense.

Let’s hope so. The Russia has a recruitment capacity of 25 000 to 35 000 roaches per month. That makes roughly 1000 per day. That’s the amount that keeps the Russia from being able to train any new soldiers. (if the losses are smaller than the recruitment capacity, a reserve can eventually be built and trained. If they are bigger, all recruits go almost immediately to front without useful training)

Everything going above that number means the Russian army decreasing in size. The 1800 per day meant that the size of their military was decreasing by 800 roaches per day. I’d like to see it return to those numbers.

But also, Putin had high hopes regarding Trump. Now it looks like those hopes have been possibly in vain, because it looks plausible that Europe will remain supporting Ukraine even if USA was to completely stop all support. As long as the political situation looked promising for the Russia’s ambitions, it made sense throwing much more soldiers to the meat grinder than can be replaced: if the war was to end very soon, the losses would not pose any danger fire the Russia, but every km² they have occupied by that point is a km² of the Russia.

Now that it looks like the war will definitely continue for several months still, Putin cannot afford to let his army diminish in size. What’s interesting is that everything over 35 000 per month (or even over just 25 000?) has been permanent losses from the Russian military capacity. That’s been a huge change in the last couple of months!

deleted by creator

Miten tuo yhteisön poistaminen käytännössä tapahtuu? Se Fedditissä oleva/ollut “väärään paikkaan” perustettu maatapitkin-yhteisö on ilmeisesti yhä olemassa, sen olemassaololle liene perusteita ja sen olemassaolo hämää ryhmää haulla etsiessä. @[email protected]

What was the drama with Maltese domains?

deleted by creator

Most of politicians at least here in Europe have not started with a lot of money. You first start in communal politics, then when you’ve shown your skills in that, your party gives you more visibility among the general public. And then you might get to the national parliament, and if you’re doing your job well there, you might end up in a position where you become interesting for voting in as a MEP. Or as the president of your country.

You cannot get into the national parliament out of nowhere, but I don’t really know why you should. It’s a very tough job, and it’s good that you’ve first had to gather some experience from communal politics before that.

Though, this is of course only how it works with leftist and centrist parties. In the right wing parties the system is apparently somewhat different. But that’s one of the reasons I wouldn’t vote them anyway.

Less convenient to use does not equal impossible to use.

They are losing those, but they haven’t lost them yet. It’ll take at least a few years of actually living without them for the people to wake up and revolt. The end of serfdom took from 1860’s or so until 1918.

It will take time but it will happen.

Some earlier GTA could be better for this. I tried driving around for the scenery, but there was so much random violence happening around that my kid got scared. I did manage to explain everything upside down in the end, so no harm done, but it did not feel nice.

GTA3:SA still wouldn’t have had that effect, I think(?)

At what age?