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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: October 29th, 2024

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  • This is a bit of an idealistic take that arguably doesn’t reflect reality.

    A russian invasion would initially be small in the Baltic nations and follow a more expansionary route after that. Beyond direct military action, the overall approach would focus on exploiting corruption, complacency and cowardice [*] in Europe and the US.

    There is a solid chance that the Americans will exit. Their culture as it stands today is focused on business ventures, nihilism and corruption. A significant portion of Americans are too ignorant to contemplate geopolitical realities (even if it will affect them in the long term) and their civil society and professional administrative corps have been debased by years of corruption. How did the wunderkind, the magical black man of the American centre right, Barack Obama react to the annexation of Crimea? I believe it was something along the lines of “a small regional conflict of no real importance”.

    Hungary is de facto a russian satellite in the vein of Warsaw pact (but with a focus on corruption, plausible deniability and triangulation). Slovakia, Czechia and Austria have a large proportion of supporters of russian genocidal imperialism.

    Germany would sell out the Baltics, no question. We’ve seen this attitude with Schroder and Merkel. You could probably bribe Schroder to support anything with some cultural acceptability. Merkel is a committed supporter of russian genocidal imperialism. Even from retirement she is pushing russian narratives about how the full scale invasion is the fault of the Baltic nations and Poland.

    The Balts, the Scandinavians and the Poles would likely be willing to fight though. But their military alone is unlikely to be able to implement the scenario that you described. The approach used to take down the drone incursion in Poland suggests that they are not really ready (and the russians are).

    [*] When I say cowardice, I don’t mean in a polemical way (Hollywood movies, Saving Private Ryan), but in a practical manner. E.g. Refusal to arm Ukraine after 2014. Refusal to provide long range strike capability in the first 3 years of the full scale invasion. Scholz being afraid of sending tanks (!!!) to Ukraine. Real world issues, not only a person willing to fight.

    Europe as it stands today would find it extremely hard to push back the russians if the Americans exit (which I think will).




  • Horrible news. The solution is to drop American services (and to a lesser extent products).

    America is a profoundly corrupt society where both the far right and centre-right largely support corruption and criminality (do you think anything will be done to Facebook leadership for knowingly gaining $16 B is commissions for fraud in a single year alone? Of course not!).

    You can’t let a criminal group dictate ethics for you.


  • A federal bankruptcy judge said on Friday he will approve a restructuring plan for drugmaker Purdue Pharma that includes a $7.4 billion settlement resolving claims that it fueled the U.S. opioid epidemic through the sale of addictive pain medications like OxyContin.

    US is comically corrupt. What fucking settlement? This is a drug cartel just with styling of the American elite (i.e not like Sinaloa or CJNG).

    Thankfully there is a modicum of realization that America freedom posturing polemics are stupid and they don’t hold weight outside of propaganda throughout.



  • Mr Prescott, who until June 2025 was an independent adviser to the BBC’s Editorial Guidelines and Standards Board, also highlights serious problems with BBC Arabic’s reporting on Gaza, in which it apparently gives extensive space to the views of Hamas.

    I was curious what this meant, so I read the relevant section and while some of the arguments seem suspect, there were definitely massive red flags with the policies of BBC Arabic.

    Haven’t read the US election part yet, but the points raised in the intro don’t sound coherent.

    EDIT: The US election part is a lot less convincing. They should have explicitly stated that they are combining two separate sections from the speech, but the argument seems more like a technicality. Some other minor points were fair, but there were a lot of incoherent arguments. One example.

    The BBC sometimes fell into using, without attribution, contested language such as “reproductive rights”. This signals to many BBC viewers, particularly those in America, a biased mindset.

    Reproductive rights isn’t a contested term.



  • I am sorry, but I strongly disagree.

    It is a fact that 1/3 of the US voted for him (after seeing what he is like), another third doesn’t care (so they have a measure of responsibility too) and the final third might not have voted for Trump, but a large portion of them are simply too well off (and therefore risk averse) to have addressed the causes of Trump’s rise; broad tolerance of corruption and criminality in US society.

    I didn’t say every single American supports Trump or that they voted for him.

    That being said, I don’t believe Trump is a magician and that Americans are idiots, who got enamoured by his powerful rhetoric.




  • This is what russian “liberals” don’t understand. They want to have their cake and eat it too.

    While Navalniy’s team nominally rejected support for the annexation of Crimea after the full-scale invasion, they continue to broadly support imperialism, albeit they tend to watch what they say when not speaking to other russians.

    That being said, this doesn’t always work.

    Navalnaya at an EU conference in 2024:

    Finally, there are those who advocate for the urgent “decolonization” of Russia, arguing to split our vast country into several smaller, safer states. However, these “decolonizers” can’t explain why people with shared backgrounds and culture should be artificially divided. Nor do they say how this process should even take place.

    And a “shared background and culture” is why you killed 5% of the civilian population of Chechnya, including a ballistic missile strike on a busy market?






  • I hope you’re right, but I don’t believe in anything other than using force against the russians.

    That would mean going beyond our current attacks with drones and locally produces missiles and doing at least 50-100 ballistic missile strikes against the russians per week. This is just one example; a similar comprehensive approach would need to be applied in multiple areas.

    Beyond that, we would need to arm freedom fighters in occupied nations to allow both utilization of senior collaborators, but also anti-air system to bring down russian planes and a bombing program to disrupt russian logistics.