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Cake day: December 13th, 2024

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  • This is a statistic problem. It is likely to occur at least once per year with a population below 250,000.

    Age is distributed and we’re only looking for one day, with a day being no well defined so we have to assume any given 24 hour period.

    If it was under 10,000 there could be entire weeks without a single death.

    This is based on the chance of any random person dying being 1:50,000.

    This is today’s rate and in the past most people died young but the chance of it occurring does not require the population be lower than that chance of a random person dying because we’re looking for any day not a specific day.