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Hopefully mostly because of the El Nino, otherwise we’re looking at a pretty drastic increase in rate of temperature rise.
Politically it’s good though and I hope we exceed+2 degrees this year so that we once and for all can conclude that humanity completely botched that goal and maybe, just maybe redouble our efforts to help change course.
The temperature rise could exceed 10• and nothing would be done about it.
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It’s not about ‘fucked/not fucked’ but a matter of degree.
We’re at the point where we go into what is essentially a minefield where we’ll see individual ecosystem components fail. We don’t know exactly when each of those will happen, but we do know that every 1/10 of a degree of warming we can avoid sharply lowers the risk from here on out.
