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London’s murder rate has dropped to its lowest in more than a decade with police in the capital and the mayor saying it is now one of the safest cities in the western world.



I mean, again, it’s abiut how to handle statistics and formulate arguments based on them. When a statement is made that “crime rates are [generally] going down”, you cannot refute that by cherrypicking one statistic with a specific context.
What doyou not understand about that?
Obviosly.
How so? How is a political movement with comparatively little influence that actually demands said change not only becoming a fig leaf for democracy but making itself one when their demand is not fulfilled? That’s not how societal change works.
What? Are you trolling now?
No, AfD is not winning at that because examining an event’s root cause is not “talking it away”. This (your) rhetoric (which is very close to AfD talking points) and it being adopted by main stream media and influential figures is what benefits the AfD. Acting for action’s sake is not helping anything.
Again, that’s why context and breakdowns of data is important. The german PKS (which is a very imperfect but unfortunately our only accessible statistic in Germany about crime (AFAIK)) lists politically motivated crimes and breaks it down into left/right, propaganda offenses, violent offenses, etc. Feel free to subtract right wing motivated violent offenses (and left wing motivated crimes against right wing persons (aka confrontational violence) as that is mostly motivated by a rise of violence from the right) and then compare the statistics of violent crimes over the years again. A quick web search brought up a rise of 17.2 percent rise in right wing motivated violence in 2024.
And yes, a twisted and out-of-context representation of statistics is bread and butter for right wing populists. They tell you that violence is growing again and that migrants are zo nlame and you should be scared of darker-skinned people. They tell you that migrants are overrepresented in crime statistics. But they don’t tell you that right wing motivated violence is growing fastest and that most of migrant crimes are crimes against immigration laws and that a lot of migrant violence is directed against other migrants.
That is why we need to look into the details and why “let’s look into the details and find out root causes” is fucking not “talking it away”.
Btw, you want to act on rising crime rates? Build youth centres. Help the poor. Raise social security. Fight worker exploitation. Invest in education. Etc pp.
I go to bed.
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/4721/umfrage/vergleich-der-anzahl-von-rechten-und-linken-gewalttaten/
1281 right and 532 left violent cases in total whereas there was an increase of 16,034 violent cases so that there were 217,277 violent cases in total.
Technically correct. If you want we can leave it like that.
To me, the problem comes with the full quote:
Are people just stupid and easy to influence or could there be another explanation?
The two options and what it is supposed to mean.
If an opportunity to win is not taken then there must be other goals.
No. Why let the aversion for the police stand in the way of changing the country?
It helps to stay in power. That should be reason enough.
I know this. That’s why violent crimes is the important number.
For that, the left has to be in power which requires to win those over who worry about violent crimes.