Russia has been shown to be a paper tiger. China wants to dominate through trade not warfare. Everybody else doesn’t really have an axe to grind. At least, not on that scale.
America against something.
The possibility of Trump launching military operation against Mexico, Canada, Denmark, China, or whatever his dying brain will come up with next is small, but not zero.
I don’t know what will happen if Trump will annex Greenland. I don’t know what will happen if he nukes Mexico. I don’t know what will happen if he puts military ships in China water to intimidate them into giving him money. But I can’t rule out this and many more idiotic actions of his.
My guess is venezuela is going to ‘kick it off.’ Trump does something stupid as another bit of red meat to toss to his little horde, he pushes argentina to help in some way, maybe he gets really brazen and tries something against brazil for their crime of daring to say anything against him (and maybe because he still has bad feelings about them from when musk was his little bestie), and china and russia decide to get rich by selling weapons to the south american countries, who will obviously have feelings about the whole us invasion. That pulls american attention away from asia, letting china have more options in their local area to bully around, and that kicks off something from that area.
Europe, africa, and the middle east might get out mostly free of conflict. The ukraine/russia war will likely still plod along.
Global war between who?
Russia has been shown to be a paper tiger. China wants to dominate through trade not warfare. Everybody else doesn’t really have an axe to grind. At least, not on that scale.
My worry isn’t that we will have a rational war. War isn’t rational to begin with.
My worry is that we will have an irrational war. All it takes is a button push to end the world.
America against something.
The possibility of Trump launching military operation against Mexico, Canada, Denmark, China, or whatever his dying brain will come up with next is small, but not zero.
I don’t know what will happen if Trump will annex Greenland. I don’t know what will happen if he nukes Mexico. I don’t know what will happen if he puts military ships in China water to intimidate them into giving him money. But I can’t rule out this and many more idiotic actions of his.
My guess is venezuela is going to ‘kick it off.’ Trump does something stupid as another bit of red meat to toss to his little horde, he pushes argentina to help in some way, maybe he gets really brazen and tries something against brazil for their crime of daring to say anything against him (and maybe because he still has bad feelings about them from when musk was his little bestie), and china and russia decide to get rich by selling weapons to the south american countries, who will obviously have feelings about the whole us invasion. That pulls american attention away from asia, letting china have more options in their local area to bully around, and that kicks off something from that area.
Europe, africa, and the middle east might get out mostly free of conflict. The ukraine/russia war will likely still plod along.
Venezuela is target #1. Very unlikely to use nuclear weapons. Bomb some more people, and declare victory after Exxon contract awarded.
He won’t confront China
US also proved itself a paper tiger,
it’ll be a way between senile geriatrics trying to feel relevant
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I’m not sure Hong Kong is a good example. It was returned to China from the UK in the 90s. So everything since then is “internal”.
Tibet on the other hand…