Estimates for trans people 13+ range from 0.8% to 5%
If mass shootings were evenly distributed by that metric we should have between 39-246 perpetrated by trans people.
Politifact has slightly different numbers (and does a lot of explaining on how there are so many definitions of mass shootings which makes it so hard to analyze evenly) and counts 7 trans shooters.
If all seven shooting incident attackers included in Gorka and Fox News’ lists were counted, that would be seven out of 4,147 mass shootings from 2018 to 2025, based on Gun Violence Archive data — a rate of 0.17% as of Sept. 4.
Looking at 5 trans shooters out of 4917 shootings gives us a trans shooter rate of 0.10%.
98% of shooters are CIS men according to the Politifact numbers. CIS women are 2%.
Of course! The real numbers are even lower than I had guessed.
Other searches show trans folk are 4x more likely to be victims of violence, 2x more likely to be victims of property crimes like vandalism, are half as likely to report being victimized (Source), and even over 2x more likely to be the victims of violence or sexual violence by an intimate partner. (Source)
Instead of finding new ways to victimize trans people, this should really be setting off alarm bells everywhere that they are criminally underserved by our legal system!
Is it actually that high?
Mass Shootings in Last 10 Years: 4917 (Source)
Estimates for trans people 13+ range from 0.8% to 5%
If mass shootings were evenly distributed by that metric we should have between 39-246 perpetrated by trans people.
Politifact has slightly different numbers (and does a lot of explaining on how there are so many definitions of mass shootings which makes it so hard to analyze evenly) and counts 7 trans shooters.
Looking at 5 trans shooters out of 4917 shootings gives us a trans shooter rate of 0.10%.
98% of shooters are CIS men according to the Politifact numbers. CIS women are 2%.
Thank you very much for this detail.
Of course! The real numbers are even lower than I had guessed.
Other searches show trans folk are 4x more likely to be victims of violence, 2x more likely to be victims of property crimes like vandalism, are half as likely to report being victimized (Source), and even over 2x more likely to be the victims of violence or sexual violence by an intimate partner. (Source)
Instead of finding new ways to victimize trans people, this should really be setting off alarm bells everywhere that they are criminally underserved by our legal system!
It’s about a tenth of a percent. There are way too many mass shootings.