Nice, good to know all this info. However, I hope they use that new military tech as means of deterrence. We don’t want Venezuela to turn into a wasteland/battlefield like Ukraine has.
Edit: Petro’s and Lula’s position becomes very important right now because we don’t want to see Brazil and Colombia as open flanks in Venezuela’s defense.
The Colombian side, which is one that it is highly likely to be exploited, is one of the fronts that the Venezuelan gov’t is already preparing for because lots of material support are coming from that side such as the recent failed terrorist attempt to the Soviet memorial monument in Caracas. Also, Colombia is currently occupied by the US throughout their territory so they lack sovereignty to actually oppose it.
Beside Colombia, two (still speculation but highly likely) fronts are the Guyana Essequibo and Trinidad y Tobago. This article from Mision Verdad explores the other two:
I don’t know, Brazilian army is almost an extension of the US army. Brazilian intelligence apparatus depends a lot on US intelligence apparatus (such as use of US satellites and more recently, Starlink). I have no doubt the Brazilian army will at least provide intelligence for the US, and would not be surprised if they provide passage to US troops or far-right guerillas (there are many in Colombia). Lula would have to politicize the population a lot against US interests to prevent Brazil from being used by them.
So yes, I am really concerned for Venezuela. They are, at this point, basically surrounded. The hope would be if FARC groups from Colombia (and a few Brazilian Maoist guerrillas) would join Venezuela’s side.
We don’t want Venezuela to turn into a wasteland/battlefield like Ukraine has.
That’s not going to happen unless the US finds a proxy willing to sacrifice itself for them like Ukraine has done. The US is far too casualty averse to directly engage in that kind of conflict themselves.
Guyana has a grand total of around 4,000 soldiers. Venezuela has at least 300,000. And i don’t even need to mention the disparity in their military inventories, but you can imagine.
No, the only viable proxy in that region is Colombia, and that would require regime change. And Colombia has its own internal instabilities that they need to keep in check, and getting involved in a Ukraine-type conflict would destabilize and undo everything they’ve worked for the past decades to achieve.
Nice, good to know all this info. However, I hope they use that new military tech as means of deterrence. We don’t want Venezuela to turn into a wasteland/battlefield like Ukraine has.
Edit: Petro’s and Lula’s position becomes very important right now because we don’t want to see Brazil and Colombia as open flanks in Venezuela’s defense.
The Colombian side, which is one that it is highly likely to be exploited, is one of the fronts that the Venezuelan gov’t is already preparing for because lots of material support are coming from that side such as the recent failed terrorist attempt to the Soviet memorial monument in Caracas. Also, Colombia is currently occupied by the US throughout their territory so they lack sovereignty to actually oppose it.
Beside Colombia, two (still speculation but highly likely) fronts are the Guyana Essequibo and Trinidad y Tobago. This article from Mision Verdad explores the other two:
I don’t know, Brazilian army is almost an extension of the US army. Brazilian intelligence apparatus depends a lot on US intelligence apparatus (such as use of US satellites and more recently, Starlink). I have no doubt the Brazilian army will at least provide intelligence for the US, and would not be surprised if they provide passage to US troops or far-right guerillas (there are many in Colombia). Lula would have to politicize the population a lot against US interests to prevent Brazil from being used by them.
So yes, I am really concerned for Venezuela. They are, at this point, basically surrounded. The hope would be if FARC groups from Colombia (and a few Brazilian Maoist guerrillas) would join Venezuela’s side.
That’s not going to happen unless the US finds a proxy willing to sacrifice itself for them like Ukraine has done. The US is far too casualty averse to directly engage in that kind of conflict themselves.
Sadly, the US has one willing proxy and that is Guyana. However, that one is still on the works from my point of view.
Guyana has a grand total of around 4,000 soldiers. Venezuela has at least 300,000. And i don’t even need to mention the disparity in their military inventories, but you can imagine.
No, the only viable proxy in that region is Colombia, and that would require regime change. And Colombia has its own internal instabilities that they need to keep in check, and getting involved in a Ukraine-type conflict would destabilize and undo everything they’ve worked for the past decades to achieve.