• happybadger [he/him]@hexbear.net
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    3 days ago

    They ran Biden in 2020 sure, but then people actually saw Joe Biden doing public appearances and it was so detrimental to the party that they spent four years hiding him and gaslighting the public. When they ran him in 2024 without the COVID bump, they knew he was going to lose. They swapped him out for a female clone, faced immense backlash because she would have lost another primary vote (and she was the first to have to drop out in 2020), and lost every swing state because nobody in Ohio likes a polished Californian astroturf person.

    However bad things are in 2028, that’s three more years of democrats like Newsom alienating their electorate by being like him. 2020 proved that Old Gavin Newsom won’t do a thing about COVID except lie and cheat the public out of relief funds. In 2024 we knew the economy was about to implode and the country was committing a genocide, but Female Gavin Newsom didn’t win because everyone knew she was going to be No Rizz Hitler.

    If you want to hedge your bets on history repeating rather than rhyming, base that off 2024 instead of 2020. 2024 is when they tried the same trick twice. 2028 is when they try the same trick three times and I can afford even fewer groceries.

    • AmarkuntheGatherer@lemmygrad.ml
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      3 days ago

      A huge part of the COVID bump was that, on top of trump being blamed for economic conditions, he didn’t get to campaign and Biden didn’t need to. That might be equalised in 2028 if the republicans fail to get someone decent at campaigning, and none of the likely candidates right now can hold a candle to Trump’s empty podium.

      If I had to bet on anything, it’d be hot potato for the next few elections until either another war of aggression or some charismatic left liberal doing some reforms that’ll be undone by the next decade.