• rbn@sopuli.xyz
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    5
    ·
    2 days ago

    Based on the research firm’s original projections, the U.S. economy was expected to gain $16.3 billion in revenue, according to an analysis by Forbes. Instead, the total deficit may be as high as $28.8 billion.

    It’s weird IMO to count in expected gains that never realized when calculating a deficit.

    • Bronzebeard@lemmy.zip
      link
      fedilink
      English
      arrow-up
      3
      arrow-down
      1
      ·
      1 day ago

      Why is that weird?

      If every calculation they had was pointing to that increase, backed up by historical growth rates, and suddenly this policy not only guts that increase, but reverse it into a decline, it makes sense to count that.

      Stock evaluations are forward looking. Businesses operate on expected earnings, and earnings growth.

      These aren’t just hopes and wishes that they make this money based on nothing. Are they guaranteed? No. Can they give a good idea of the direction things are headed from the current point barring any changes? Yes

      • rbn@sopuli.xyz
        link
        fedilink
        English
        arrow-up
        3
        ·
        edit-2
        2 days ago

        The study suggests that the U.S. economy is on track to lose $12.5 billion in international spending this year alone – but the actual shortfall might be much greater.

        Tourism Economics, a division of Oxford Economics, had originally forecast a nine percent increase in foreign travel earlier this year before revising its estimate to reflect “polarizing Trump Administration policies and rhetoric.”

        Based on the research firm’s original projections, the U.S. economy was expected to gain $16.3 billion in revenue, according to an analysis by Forbes. Instead, the total deficit may be as high as $28.8 billion.

        Yes they did. They expected gains of 16.3 billion, but instead experienced a drop of 12.5 billion. Resulting in hypothetical losses of 28.8 billion.