Crews are going to get even smaller, and in general content will be shot even flatter because of the higher dynamic range of cameras. On set crews will spend even less time on blocking.
Specialized knowledge will continue to disappear, the ages of crew members will continue to get lower. As for equipment, rental houses will continue to switch to nanlite and aputure in order to save costs. Also more of the larger production houses will switch over to in-house production while crew stays self employed.
Over in China they’re now shooting tv shows vertically, this trend will also come over to the west. As for talent, we’re going to get more influencer stuff. Some agencies are already recruiting new talent based on follower count, it’s only going to worse.
streaming is getting very expensive for companies, and they are just cancelling good shows after 1-2 seasons.
It will be a lot more expensive, thats for sure.
I predict ATSC 3.0 will flop in the US. Next to no one is going to run out and buy a new TV for this DRM-laden standard when broadcast TV barely offers anything worth watching anyway.
Do you buy new TVs when a broadcast standard changes? Around here people buy cheap chinese tuner/decoder thingy so you can still see some CRTs in the wild if you have older relatives.
Free ad supported streaming like Pluto or Tubi will become the dominant streaming option (aside from Netflix).
By 2030 I intend to expand my media center capacity from 8TB to something like 16TB in a striped RAID configuration. Maybe by then I’ll have an external IP and will be able to stream from home to my other devices without a tunnel connection.
I just upped my 16tb SHR setup to 24tb but I’m going to kick it to 32tb by the end of the year. We were at 70% full on 16tb and I’m the primary provider for 10 households across 2 states.
To be fair that’s our content library for media hosting but also our own cloud now (that’s just for me and the wife though), one of the redundant pi-holes and the home assistant all on that NAS.
I too choose this guy’s media center.
is there some cool app/tool for people to p2p link these collections with each other in a cool encrypted anonymous way?
Hmm. That’s a great question. Federated streaming.
Streaming services hopping will become more normalized and so streaming services will attempt to lock people in into longer contracts.
More vertical integration. More services. More premium tiers to get rid of adverts but you still have to watch trailers and idents. More totally mid content with characters narrating the action so you can do the ironing while it’s on and not miss anything.
By the minute charging . With ads.
I think they might go with an iTunes model where you can buy one series at a time.
I’m spitballing here, so don’t expect a perfect solution, but I think it could work like this. You get to watch the first episode of say “Severance” for free, then can opt to buy the next episode for $1.00 or the whole season for $5.00.
A favorite movie would be $5.00 for five viewings, or unlimited viewings for $20.00
See?
That’s very optimistic.
