

Internally I don’t they ever had any timeline for AGI. Stuff like “we will have AGI by 20xx” was said by hucksters like Altman informally during interviews which then the media just repeated verbatim.
The jump in model quality has noticeably slowed down since 4o. So they can’t even pretend to be on the trajectory for AGI. So they have kinda just stopped talking about it. Now the only place where I see AGI being mentioned unironically is the comment section of hacker news.



















I think it should be short videos that should be focus, not just tiktok. Videos have become extremely easy to make and distribute since tiktok became a thing. The apps themselves not contain capable video editing suites. Not to mention the advances in internet, codecs, playback, AI captioning and so on. Short videos are extremely simulating. They are short so you don’t have to pay attention for long. They get to the point from the very first frame so there is no delay in gratification. They become even more stimulating when there are more things on screen, like the creator talking or the weird eye catching appearing-as-they-speak subtitles that these videos have. I don’t watch this stuff but so I’m making all this up but I feel if one gets accustomed to this level of stimulation the digital crack of yesteryears like an Instagram post with only pictures will feel less interesting. It’s no accident that the ghouls at Google and meta had to copy this format. Even outside tiktok-verse short videos are often sprinkled across facebook and twitter timelines.