Read through the whole thread. Man, I remember back when Nate Silver seemed smart and interesting and now I’m realizing that he probably was just my political Boss Baby moment.
If I had a dollar for every time it turned out some poller influencer went off on the deep end I would have two dollars, not much but etc. In the Netherlands we have a similar type of guy called Maurice de Hond, who also got famous for doing polls (which often slightly differed from other polls) but he has gone quite nutty nowadays, a man I knew who turned into an anti-vaxer was a big fan. (The Hond is also one of those ‘I talked about polarization and nobody listened to me!’ guys when he has been a regular person on the Dutch TV for ages, thankfully Nate doesn’t seem that bad).
Strange how generating a slightly different type of poll causes people to go off into contrarian/bad epistemology land.
Read through the whole thread. Man, I remember back when Nate Silver seemed smart and interesting and now I’m realizing that he probably was just my political Boss Baby moment.
If I had a dollar for every time it turned out some poller influencer went off on the deep end I would have two dollars, not much but etc. In the Netherlands we have a similar type of guy called Maurice de Hond, who also got famous for doing polls (which often slightly differed from other polls) but he has gone quite nutty nowadays, a man I knew who turned into an anti-vaxer was a big fan. (The Hond is also one of those ‘I talked about polarization and nobody listened to me!’ guys when he has been a regular person on the Dutch TV for ages, thankfully Nate doesn’t seem that bad).
Strange how generating a slightly different type of poll causes people to go off into contrarian/bad epistemology land.
E: Me : “doesn’t seem that bad” a few moments later A wild bsky skeet arrives (on why this sucks see this thread)
“yet”
and probably just in public. seems highly likely some of it is “just” in private at this stage, given employer and focuses