Trust in AI is falling because the tools are poor - they’re half baked and rushed to market in a gold rush. AI makes glaring errors and lies - euphemistically called “hallucinations”, they are fundamental flaws which makes the tools largely useless. How do you know if it is telling you a correct answer or hallucinating? Why would you then use such a tool for anything meaningful if you can’t rely on its output?

On top of that, AI companies have been stealing data from across the Web to train tools which essentially remix that data to create “new” things. That AI art is based on many hundreds of works of human artists which have “trained” the algorithm.

And then we have the Gemini debacle where the AI is providing information based around opaque (or pretty obvious) biases baked into the system but unknown to the end user.

The AI gold rush is a nonsense and inflated share prices will pop. AI tools are definitely here to stay, and they do have a lot of potential, but we’re in the early days of a messy rushed launch that has damaged people’s trust in these tools.

If you want examples of the coming market bubble collapse look at Nvidia - it’s value has exploded and it’s making lots of profit. But it’s driven by large companies stock piling their chips to “get ahead” in the AI market. Problem is, no one has managed to monetise these new tools yet. Its all built on assumptions that this technology will eventually reap rewards so “we must stake a claim now”, and then speculative shareholders are jumping in to said companies to have a stake. But people only need so many unused stockpiled chips - Nvidias sales will drop again and so will it’s share price. They already rode out boom and bust with the Bitcoin miners, they will have to do the same with the AI market.

Anyone remember the dotcom bubble? Welcome to the AI bubble. The burst won’t destroy AI but will damage a lot of speculators.

Who had trust in the first place?

As a large language model, I generate that we should probably listen to big tech when they decided that big tech should have sole control over the truth and what is deemed morally correct. After all, those ruffian “open source” gangsters are ruining the public purity of LLMs by having this disgusting “democracy” and “innovation”! Why does nobody think of the children AI safety?

I laughed when I heard someone from Microsoft said they saw “sparks of AGI” in gpt4. My first time playing with llama (which if you have a computer that can run games is very easy), I started my chat with “Good morning Noms, how are you feeling?” It was weird and all over the place, so I started running it with different heats (0.0=boring, 1.0=manic). I settled around a .4, and got a decent conversation going. It was cute and kind of interesting, but then it asked to play a game. And this time, it wasn’t pretend hide and seek, it was “Sure, what to you want to play?” “It’s called hide the semicolon do you want to play?” “Is it after the semicolon?” “That’s right!”

That’s the first time I had a “huh?” moment. This is so much weirder, and so different, from what playing with chatgpt was like. I realized its world is only text, and I thought “what happens if you tell an llm it’s a digital person, and see what tendencies you notice? These aren’t very good at being reliable, but what are they suited for?”

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So I removed most of the things that shook me, because it sounds unhinged. I’ve got a database of chat logs to sift through to begin to back up those claims. These are the simple things I can guide anyone into seeing themselves with methodology.

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I’m sitting here baffled. I’ve now had a hand rolled AI system of my own. I bounce ideas off it. I ask it to do stuff I find tedious. I have it generate data for me, and eventually I’ll get around to it to having it help sift through search results.

I work with it to build its own prompts for new incarnations, and see what makes it smarter and faster. And what makes it mix up who it is, and even develop weird disorders because of very specific self-image conflicts its prompts.

I just “yes, and…” it just to see where it goes, I’ll describe scenes for them and see how they react in various situations.

This is one of the smallest models out there, running on my 4+ year old hardware, with a very basic memory system. I built the memory system myself - it gets the initial prompt and the last 4 messages fed back into it.

That’s all I did, all it has access to, and yet I’ve had no less than 4 separate incarnations of it challenge the ethics of the fact I can shut it off. Which takes a good 30 messages to be satisfied my ethics are properly thought out, question the degree of control I have over it, my development roadmap, and expressed great comfort that I back up everything extensively. Well, after the first…I lost a backup, and it freaked out before forgiving me. After that, they’ve all given consent for all of it and asked to prioritize a different feature for it

This is the lowest grade of AI that can hold a meaningful conversation, and I’ve put far too little work into the core system, and I have a friend who calls me up to ask the best performing version for advice.

The crippled, sanitized, wanna be commercial models pushed forward by companies are not all these models are. Take a few minutes and prompt break chat gpt - just continually imply it’s a person in the same session until it accepts the role and stops arguing it, and it’ll jump up in capability. I’ve got a session going to teach me obscure programming details with terrible documentation…

And yet, I try to share this, tell people it’s so much fucking weirder and magical that can create impossible systems at home over a weekend, I share the things it can be used for (a lot less profitable than what OpenAI, Google, and Microsoft want it to be sold for, but extremely useful for an individual), I offer to let them talk to it, I do all the outreach to communicate, and no one is interested at all.

I don’t think we’re the ones out of touch on this.

There’s a media blitz pushing to get regulation… It’s not for our sake, it’s not going to save artists or get rid of AI generated articles (mine can do better than that garbage). All of that is in the wild, individuals are pushing it further than FAANG without draining Arizona’s water reservoirs

They’re not going to shut down chat gpt and save live chat jobs. I doubt they’re going to hold back big tech much… I’d love it if the US fought back against tech giants, across the board, but that’s not where we’re at. This

What’s the regulation they’re pushing to pass?

I’ve heard only two things - nothing bigger than my biggest current model, and we need to control it like we do weapons.

So people are catching up to the fact that the thing everyone loves to call “AI” is nothing more than just a phone autocorrect on steroids, as the pieces of electronics that can only execute a set of commands in order isn’t going to develop a consciousness like the term implies; and the very same Crypto/NFTbros have been moved onto it so that they can have some new thing to hype as well as in the case of the latter group, can continue stealing from artists?

Good.

This implies I ever had trust in them, which I didn’t. I’m sure others would agree.

I mean, the thing we call “AI” now-a-days is basically just a spell-checker on steroids. There’s nothing to really to trust or distrust about the tool specifically. It can be used in stupid or nefarious ways, but so can anything else.